Mali vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
GUI
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 3
MLI
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SYC
2 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ZIM
1 - 0
ANG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
8%
19%
73%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | 0 |