Mali vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 1
MLI
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MTN
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
CMR
30%
28%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAB
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |