Mali vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 0
BFA
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 1
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 2
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 0
EQG
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
SDN
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
TUN
4 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
MLI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |