Mali vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
GHA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MTN
0 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
CIV
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
MOZ
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NAM
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
MOZ
3 - 1
BOT
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |