Mali vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 3
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MRT
0 - 1
GMB
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
MRT
1 - 1
GAB
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
MRT
0 - 0
BFA
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
SYR
1 - 2
MRT
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |