Mali vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
1 - 1
MLI
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
BFA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 2
MLI
23%
26%
52%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
RWA
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 2
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
NAM
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |