Mali vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BFA
1 - 1
MLI
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LBR
2 - 2
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MLI
3 - 0
CPV
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
TUN
4 - 2
MLI
59%
24%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MLI
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
BFA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 4
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 2
GUI
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |