WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 4-1
Mali vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
0 - 0
ZIM
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1988 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +8 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
1 - 1
SEN
20%
27%
53%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
0 - 0
SLE
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1986 |
SLE
3 - 2
GNB
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |