Mali vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MRT
0 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
CIV
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 2
GHA
25%
28%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GHA
16%
25%
60%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 2
GHA
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
CPV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |