Mali vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
MLI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 0
GUI
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 3
NAM
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
10%
17%
74%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |