Mali vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
MLI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EQG
0 - 1
MLI
17%
23%
61%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
EQG
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
MLI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
EQG
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
SSD
60%
20%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
BEN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
BFA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |