Mali vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 2
MLI
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MLI
2 - 3
SEN
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
TOG
0 - 2
MLI
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BFA
2 - 3
MLI
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
GHA
4 - 2
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 2
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 2
GAB
31%
24%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |