Mali vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
4 - 4
MLI
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 0
MLI
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 2
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 1
PRK
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 0
ALG
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
EGY
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 1
RWA
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |