Mali vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
MLI
25%
27%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MLI
3 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
MLI
24%
25%
50%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 1
MLI
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
2 - 1
NIG
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 0
BFA
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
3 - 1
TOG
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
78%
17%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |