Mali vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MLI
3 - 0
GHA
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
MLI
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
MAD
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |