Mali vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MLI
1 - 2
TOG
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 0
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 2
SEN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
MLI
3 - 0
COD
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SEN
6 - 1
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 0
TOG
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CGO
3 - 0
LBR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |