Mali vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
MLI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
MLI
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MLI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EQG
1 - 0
MAR
17%
25%
59%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
EQG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EQG
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
AND
0 - 1
EQG
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |