WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Mali vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 1
MLI
15%
22%
64%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MTN
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 3
ETH
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |