Mali U23 vs Italy U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 3
MLI
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRC
0 - 2
MLI
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MEX
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
JPN
2 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
GHA
2 - 2
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
NGA
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |