Mali U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
URY
1 - 2
MLI
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
DDR
3 - 0
MLI
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
5 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
MLI
1 - 1
USA
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
KOR
1 - 3
PRT
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1995 |
PRT
3 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1995 |
BRA
1 - 0
PRT
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
PRT
2 - 1
AUS
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
NLD
0 - 3
PRT
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |