Mali U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
2 - 3
MLI
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
MLI
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
MLI
1 - 3
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
MLI
3 - 1
NGA
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1999 |
MLI
5 - 4
CMR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
SVK
0 - 4
ESP
23%
23%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
GER
0 - 2
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
4 - 1
UZB
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 2
SVK
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |