Maldives vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SGP
3 - 1
MDV
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
MAS
3 - 0
MDV
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LAO
1 - 3
MDV
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 3
MDV
15%
16%
68%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
MDV
1 - 0
LKA
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
PAK
1 - 2
KHM
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
KHM
2 - 0
PAK
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
PLE
2 - 1
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PAK
0 - 0
YEM
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |