Maldives vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MDV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 1
QAT
16%
22%
63%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 2
TJK
33%
23%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 2
MDV
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MDV
0 - 0
PLE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
BOT
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 3
NAM
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
MAD
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |