Maldives vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
2 - 1
SYC
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 0
SYC
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
MDV
0 - 1
IRN
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
IRN
4 - 0
MDV
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
MDV
1 - 1
IND
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 1
NPL
34%
25%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 0
PAK
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
LBN
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |