Malawi vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 0
MWI
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 0
BOT
63%
24%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
ZIM
16%
23%
62%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |