Malawi vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
MWI
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
MWI
2 - 3
ANG
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
1 - 1
MWI
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
MWI
2 - 2
KEN
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
ZIM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
BFA
0 - 1
ZIM
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
UGA
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |