CHAN Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Malawi vs Esuatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MWI
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MWI
0 - 0
MAR
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
MWI
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MWI
0 - 0
CMR
13%
24%
62%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CMR
1 - 0
MWI
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Esuatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MWI
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 0
SWZ
84%
13%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SWZ
1 - 2
NIG
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
EGY
8%
19%
73%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EGY
4 - 1
SWZ
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |