Malawi vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 0
MWI
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
MWI
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 0
MWI
72%
20%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
ALG
5 - 0
ZAM
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 2
SWZ
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
19%
70%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 2
BOT
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |