Malawi vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MWI
24%
24%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MWI
61%
22%
16%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
MWI
1 - 2
NAM
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
0 - 9
RWA
27%
23%
51%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
2 - 3
ERI
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
0 - 7
UGA
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
4 - 1
DJI
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |