Malawi vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 2
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
MWI
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CGO
0 - 1
SDN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |