Malawi vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1984 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1983 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
KEN
2 - 0
MWI
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1983 |
MWI
2 - 1
SOM
65%
19%
17%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1984 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 0
NGA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1983 |
TOG
5 - 2
NGA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SEN
0 - 1
NGA
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |