Malawi vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CMR
2 - 0
MWI
74%
19%
7%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
MWI
79%
16%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 1
NAM
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
CIV
13%
24%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 0
MOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 0
NAM
27%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |