Malawi vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
MWI
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
MWI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
SSD
0 - 0
MOZ
36%
24%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MOZ
5 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |