Malawi vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MWI
0 - 0
ETH
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 3
MWI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
MWI
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZIM
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
SUI
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |