Malawi vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MWI
0 - 0
NAM
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MWI
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 1
MWI
71%
20%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MWI
0 - 1
GHA
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 0
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |