Malawi vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GUI
3 - 1
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
MWI
1 - 3
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MWI
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
LSO
1 - 2
MWI
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 1
MWI
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 0
MAR
26%
30%
44%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 0
KEN
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
1 - 0
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |