CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 0-3
Malawi vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
TCD
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
1 - 1
NGA
21%
30%
49%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 1
MWI
32%
24%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
GHA
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ZMB
1 - 0
GHA
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GHA
7 - 0
LSO
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHL
1 - 1
GHA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |