Malawi vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
66.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
MOZ
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CMR
2 - 0
MWI
74%
19%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
MWI
79%
16%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 1
NAM
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
CMR
60%
22%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
CIV
13%
24%
62%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GHA
0 - 0
CIV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CIV
3 - 1
ETH
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |