Malawi vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
SYC
82%
14%
4%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
2 - 1
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 3
COM
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
CIV
8%
18%
75%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CIV
3 - 1
COM
92%
6%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |