Malawi vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
MWI
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MWI
3 - 1
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 4
KEN
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 1
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SYC
1 - 3
BDI
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 4
ALG
8%
21%
71%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |