Malawi vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 0
MWI
70%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BFA
1 - 0
MWI
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
EGY
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 1
RWA
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
URU
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | +1 |