Malawi vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
3 - 0
MWI
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 3
MWI
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MWI
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
MWI
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COD
0 - 1
EGY
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
COD
2 - 1
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
COD
5 - 1
DJI
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 6
COD
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
COD
1 - 0
MWI
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |