Malawi vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MWI
0 - 2
ALG
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MWI
3 - 2
ETH
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 3
ETH
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 2
MLI
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 3
MLI
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |