Malawi vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
MWI
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
3 - 0
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
0 - 0
MWI
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 2
ETH
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
SYC
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |