Malawi vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 2
ALG
23%
28%
50%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ETH
64%
23%
14%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
GHA
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |