WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 3-1
Malawi vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 3
MWI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
MWI
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZIM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MWI
4 - 2
ZAM
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
ANG
5 - 1
MWI
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 3
MWI
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 0
ETH
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ETH
2 - 0
NIG
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 0
ETH
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |