Malawi vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 0
MWI
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
TOG
0 - 1
MWI
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
ANG
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ZIM
0 - 1
BOT
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |