Malavan vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
41%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
14º
7º
35
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAQ
1 - 0
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPF
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EKU
1 - 1
MAL
33%
30%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
SAI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
MES
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MES
1 - 1
SEP
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
21%
28%
51%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MES
1 - 1
GOH
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
MES
1 - 1
PAY
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |