Malavan vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
14º
7º
67
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ZOB
0 - 1
MAL
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
SHA
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
AAK
1 - 1
MAL
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
TRA
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MES
1 - 4
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
PAY
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
GOH
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
NAS
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
EST
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |