Malavan vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
34%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
14º
7º
39
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 1
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 1
MES
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAQ
1 - 0
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPF
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
AAK
0 - 1
SEP
33%
28%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GOH
2 - 3
AAK
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AAK
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
SAN
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
PAY
0 - 1
AAK
35%
32%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |